Based on your inputs, here's how much to bet at each True Count:
| True Count | Edge | Bet |
|---|
Basic strategy alone gives the casino a ~0.5% edge. Card counting tells you when the remaining deck favors the player. By betting more when you have the edge and less when you don't, you can flip the house edge in your favor.
For every +1 true count above 0, your edge increases by approximately 0.5%. At TC +2, you have roughly a 0.5% edge. At TC +4, you have roughly a 1.5% edge.
Kelly betting suggests wagering a percentage of your bankroll equal to your edge divided by the variance. In practice, most advantage players use 1/2 Kelly or less to reduce variance and risk of ruin. A common rule: bet 1-2% of bankroll per unit.
Critical: Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Even with an edge, short-term variance can wipe out your bankroll. A 1-12 spread with proper bankroll management targets ~1-2% hourly return with acceptable risk of ruin.
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